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Original analysis, derived from public data. India-anchored.

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Red container cranes and stacked shipping containers at a port at sunset

Business

India's Deficit With China Is the Price of Its Own Electronics Boom

China's trade surplus passed $1 trillion for 2026, but its imports are now growing faster than its exports. India's rising deficit with China looks less like dumping and more like the input bill for its own electronics boom.

November 10, 2026

Black and white macro photograph of a solar panel surface showing the cell grid and busbar lines

Business

India's Solar Wafer Mandate Now Runs Through a Chinese Export Registry

India's wafer rule starts on 1 June 2028 and needs 15 GW of domestic capacity, against about 2 GW today. China's draft export controls, with registration already live, land on the same upstream stage.

November 10, 2026

A woman in a green sari sits beside a stall of glazed ceramic jars and mugs at an outdoor market in India

Business

Women Hold Most Mudra Loans but Only 37 Percent of the Money

Women held 59.81 percent of Mudra loan accounts but 37.45 percent of the amount disbursed in FY2024-25. The average loan to a woman has stayed well below the scheme average since the scheme began.

November 9, 2026

Heaps of red onions on a cloth at an outdoor market, with wicker baskets behind

Business

Food Is a Shrinking Share of India's Budget but Still Half of Its Inflation

Households now spend more on processed food than on cereals, and the new CPI basket was rebuilt to match. Food is about 37 percent of that basket, yet it supplied roughly half of September's 5.54 percent inflation.

November 9, 2026

A tightly packed spread of Indian 100 rupee notes bearing the portrait of Mahatma Gandhi

Business

India's Cash Is Growing Faster Than Its Economy Again

UPI moved about 91 percent of India's GDP in value last year. Yet cash grew 13.3 percent in the year to September, against 8.9 percent for the economy, the fastest in five years.

November 9, 2026

A steel high-voltage transmission tower seen from below against a deep blue sky, with power lines running left and right

Technology

US Voters Turned on Data Centres Over Who Pays for the Power

Three in four voters in a US exit poll oppose data centres in their communities. The grid's own market monitor says other customers have paid $29.4 billion for them, and India is about to build the same load.

November 8, 2026

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