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Original analysis, derived from public data. India-anchored.

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Workers at sewing machines beside tall stacks of fabric on a large factory floor, in a violet duotone treatment

Business

India's Manufacturers Paid 27.5 Percent More for Inputs and Still Grew Profit 21 Percent

In the April to June 2026 quarter, listed manufacturers' raw material bill rose faster than their sales. Their operating profit still grew almost as fast as sales. Who absorbed the difference?

October 20, 2026

An aerial view of a large oil tanker moored on dark blue water

Geopolitics

The Pipelines That Could Replace Hormuz Carry One Barrel in Four at Best

HSBC's CEO says Gulf investment could make Hormuz redundant in five years. The bypass pipelines that exist today cap out near a quarter of the strait's pre-war flow, and one broken pipe in September sent Brent to $131.

October 20, 2026

A doctor in a white coat holding a clipboard speaks with a patient, shown from the shoulders down in a tinted duotone

Health

India's Tobacco Fight Is Being Won Where the Users Are Not

Fewer young Indians use tobacco, which is the win prevention promised. But in the last national survey, use was 41.4% at 65 and over against 12.4% at 15 to 24, and tobacco-site cancers peak at 70 to 74.

October 19, 2026

An oil tanker berthed at a jetty beside a refinery with distillation towers and a spherical storage tank, in a navy-toned photo

Business

India's Oil Bill Rose Nearly $29 Billion Without Buying More Oil

India's crude import bill jumped from $61.9 billion to $90.6 billion in the first half of the fiscal year, on almost identical volumes. The headline overstates the net hit, and understates what comes next.

October 19, 2026

Mumbai's skyline across the waters of the Arabian Sea at dusk, with tall residential towers along the shoreline

Business

India Misses the 5 Trillion Dollar Line in 2028 by Four Billion Dollars

The IMF has India at $4,996 billion in 2028, a hair under the $5 trillion line, and at $5,542 billion in 2029. Growth is not the swing factor. The exchange rate is.

October 19, 2026

A close-up of a dark trading screen showing a red and teal price line with volume bars along the bottom

Markets

SEBI Kept the Closing Auction but Took It Out of Expiry Settlement

SEBI did not scrap the closing auction. It cut it to 10 minutes and moved expiry settlement back to a 30-minute average. Its own expiry-day data show a short window drawing more option trading per minute than the long one it replaced.

October 19, 2026

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